Apparently, a simple question. We have our money. We will subtract the purchase expenses from it, and the remaining gap needed to close the deal will be taken as a mortgage. For example, if we want to buy an apartment for two million shekels, and we have 800,000 shekels, we will deduct 150,000 shekels in purchase expenses from our capital and take a mortgage of 2,000,000 minus 650,000 (our capital minus purchase expenses). This results in a mortgage of 1,350,000 shekels.

The first challenge is that many people do not accurately calculate the purchase expenses on the one hand, and the ability to cope for years with a mortgage of 1,350,000, as in the example above. This is not what I want to talk about this time. To avoid mistakes at this critical stage, do not forgo quality financial advice. Even before searching for an apartment, To find an apartment within your budget.

How not to make a decision?

Let's say I found an apartment worth 2,000,000 shekels and I have 2,200,000 shekels in liquid assets or more. Should I take out a mortgage? If you ask those around you or on the internet, you'll get different answers depending on the respondent's worldview. For example: "Take out a mortgage, it's the cheapest loan." Or on the other hand: "Don't take out a mortgage, why be beholden to the bank?"

Although the two answers are contradictory in their conclusions, both are very bad answers. If taking a loan is not suitable for my financial goals, then I won't take a loan/mortgage just because I found one at a cheap price. The same applies if I find a cheap supplier of cigarettes or cocaine; I won't start using either of them. Consuming something because it's cheap and not because you need it is a bad practice when it comes to a mortgage or any other product that isn't required by my plan and won't advance me.

The second answer, "Don't be a slave to the bank," is also a bad answer. Someone who answers this feels burdened every month when the mortgage payment is debited from their account, feels "enslaved," and out of their desire for this enslavement to end, they advise others not to take out a mortgage. One of the things we shouldn't do before making financial decisions is to add emotional weight. Beyond need On our decision. I absolutely suggest considering the emotional aspect of every decision. Ultimately, our happiness is something worth preserving and developing, and we won't want to do things that will harm it. The point is that happiness or the harm to happiness for different people is created by different factors. For one, a million shekels in debt to the bank is a sleepless burden, and for another, it's insignificant. The monthly payment doesn't bother him, and the very fact of him being in debt doesn't trouble him at all. When we listen to advice based on emotion Streams We might make a decision based on the emotional system of those strangers, which could be very different from ours, and in doing so, we might be hurt twice: we'll gain less financial capital, which is important to us, and we'll be less happy because we acted according to principles of happiness. of others. In short, everyone is "addicted" to different things, and different things bother them. I assume you wouldn't take advice like "don't get addicted to foreign vacations or dining out." We understand that we'll miss out on something with vacations and entertainment, but we also clearly understand the return, assuming we made informed decisions (for example, not going on a vacation we couldn't afford with our own money, even with interest-free loans).

Should I take out a mortgage when I don't have to?

As mentioned, according to the example, I have the ability to take out a mortgage of 1,350,000 shekels, but I am not obligated to take out this mortgage. Even if a mortgage pressures me, I can choose two ways: to take it despite the pressure, or not to take it. As mentioned, I am not among those who think the emotional system is inferior and decisions should only be made rationally. My wife may think differently from me in light of the shirt she once bought me, but I am truly trying to combine both.

But, and this is very important, to combine emotion with rationality, one must hold data on both. To know the The price tag of every decision. Let’s say we believe that a mortgage will negatively impact our quality of life in some way. Would we be missing out on anything if we didn’t take one out? Suppose the 1,350,000 shekels in question are currently in the capital market, yielding an average return of 7.1%, while I’ll pay 5.1% interest on the mortgage. "Rational" but superficial people will look at the data and say, "The return on the investment exceeds the loan interest, so it’s worth taking out a mortgage to preserve the investment." On the other hand, someone will come along and say, "I don’t want to be enslaved," or "The mortgage worries me." In most cases, the discussion will remain at this level of hand-waving because most people lack the ability to quantify the financial benefit of taking out a mortgage, and therefore don’t know how "worthwhile" their concerns are. A discussion based on mere hand-waving is dangerous if we make a decision alone, because we might make a bad decision, and it is dozens of times more dangerous when we make a joint decision as a couple, with each side looking at things from their own perspective. The wife says, "If we don’t take out a mortgage, we’ll miss out on the potential for a "big profit,’” and her partner says, “I don’t want to be enslaved.” This is a decision based on data from completely different perspectives, so any compromise one side makes will inevitably leave the other side almost entirely dissatisfied—even if they decide, say, to take half of the possible mortgage amount.

I propose a different approach: regardless of what's decided, it's worth doing so when one can quantify the future consequences of the decision. For example, taking out a mortgage of 1,350,000 for twenty years would result in a monthly payment of approximately 8,900 shekels. What if we don't take the mortgage but invest that 8,900 shekels every month instead? What will be the difference in our capital in 20 years? The answer is 700,000 shekels. Or in 30 years, 1.8 million. Are you willing to be indebted for 700,000 or 1.8 million? Some are, and some are not. There is no good or bad decision because everyone has different goals. What's important is that the decision contributes to achieving your goal. Want to calculate it yourself?

Enter data into the calculator below, which I am very proud of, that you think is more suitable for you:

The calculator compares two scenarios assuming the monthly expense is the same: (a) selling stocks and buying an apartment, and monthly investment of the money that would have been "wasted" on the mortgage. (b) Keeping stocks in the stock market, taking out a mortgage, and making monthly payments to the bank.

A calculator, as a calculator, ultimately provides a numerical answer. The weakness of a numerical answer is our difficulty in feeling it physically, and therefore we often attach insufficient importance to it. We invite you to see In the previous article, I did my best to address this human weakness.

In a side note, when the Association of Mortgage Consultants was established, there was a debate about what to call the organization. I was on the side that supported "Housing Finance Consultants" and not Mortgage Consultants. This is indeed the name chosen for the organization, but life has more power than official decisions, and thus the name Mortgage Consultants became established. I still think Housing Finance Consultants is a better name because, as mentioned, sometimes the purpose of the consultation is to show that, according to the family's values, desires, and goals, it is better not to take out a mortgage at all.

As always, feel free to leave comments below, email me directly at rimon@effm.co.il, or call 054-5232-799.

Links

Details about mortgage counseling and financial counseling in general – https://effectivemortgage.co.il/consulting/
Selected chapters from the book Effective Mortgage - Freehttps://mortgage.ravpage.co.il/freechapter
Life-changing economic insights https://mortgage.ravpage.co.il/9things
The Podcast Capital and Microphone – https://open.spotify.com/show/0Nq5176BXkh4ZPUl8xZ77v?si=0eb29d6e71a34871
Joining friends on a YouTube channel to watch exclusive content or simply to say thanks – https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0Um-HFfZWvyXLXrt3XtXQA/join
A community growing together financially – https://www.facebook.com/groups/216286442895096?locale=he_IL
Real Estate Course: The Rules of the Game https://nadlanrules.co.il/

10 תגובות על “כמה משכנתה לקחת?

  1. Thank you for the analysis
    One of the problems with comparison is that we don't really know the data. What the mortgage interest rate will actually be, and certainly not what the investment return will be.
    In recent years, mortgage borrowers have faced a crazy jump in mortgage costs.
    There are periods of declines in the capital market.
    The whole world is a world of uncertainty

    1. Hello Anat, thank you very much for your response.
      We can know what the mortgage interest rate will be—if we take a 100% fixed-rate, non-indexed mortgage, we will know for certain what the interest rate will be.
      Of course, there are periods of decline in the stock market. That is why basing this strategy on a single year is a bad idea. There has never been a 20-year period of decline in the stock market in history. Theoretically, it could happen, but it has never happened. That is why we chose an average interest rate of 7% rather than, say, 15% as in recent years. People usually use the phrase "you can’t know" to describe only bad situations (even if the probability of them is close to zero) and not to describe the possibilities that are better than the forecast. For people who take this approach and cannot bear the thought of loss or its consequences, it is indeed not advisable to act in a way that increases risk-reward. Best of luck.

  2. Regarding cheap loans - I disagree. Money is like any other product. If there's a "sale" and you can buy the product cheaply, and of course, you need to have a use for it - you should take it. If there's a cheap loan, you can afford the monthly payments, and you have something to do with the money (invest in stocks, for example) - why not take it?

    1. In my opinion, I addressed both points:
      – If money is like "any product," then surely there are products like Coca-Cola, which I wouldn't take even for free because they are harmful to health.
      – If you are using a loan for investment, then it is advisable to take it. This is actually the main idea of the entire article.

      1. Thank you.
        I would appreciate an answer to the question I asked earlier – if it's right to take out a cheap loan and invest in stocks, why doesn't the bank do it?

  3. A note about the calculator: it doesn’t really add much, because if the mortgage interest rate is 5% and the stock market return is 7%, then it’s obviously better to keep the stocks. The question is, why does the bank give us the mortgage (and incur additional costs) instead of investing the money in the stock market? The answer is probably that there is still a risk involved. And that risk should concern us as well.

    1. Suggest changing "doesn't offer much" to "doesn't offer much *to me*." After all, you don't know if it offers much to someone else.
      Second, the entire article takes issue with the tendency to make sweeping statements like "It’s obviously better to…". No, it’s really not obvious that if you pay 5% on a loan and receive 7% on an investment, then it’s worth taking the loan. Such a move significantly increases the risk. If I know that alongside the increased risk I have the opportunity to earn hundreds of thousands of shekels, then maybe I’ll agree to take it, but according to your method, without the calculator you won’t know that.

      1. I really meant that the calculator isn’t new to anyone, not just me. Why? Because what matters is that there’s a difference in percentages—that alone shows that one option is better than the other. Of course, you also have to consider the risk, as we both wrote. But even for that, it’s better to work with percentages. The way I see it, the calculator’s added value is to throw dollars in your face, and it’s intended for those who think that 2% isn’t much. That’s fine and important for explaining the significance and for illustration (due to our human limitations), or another use is when the calculation is more complicated (like management fees from deposits and accumulation). But it’s really not worth using it when weighing two offers

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